Sign in to follow this  
Nicole

Tropical Storm Otto Nears Hurricane Strength; Forecast to Make Very Rare Thanksgiving Hurricane Central America Landfall

Recommended Posts

Tropical Storm Otto is nearing hurricane strength in the southwest Caribbean Sea, and is forecast to be an extremely rare late November hurricane landfall, posing a danger of flooding and mudslides in parts of Central America.

A hurricane watch was issued Tuesday morning for Costa Rica and southern Nicaragua. This means that hurricnae conditions are possible here within 48 hours.

In addition, a tropical storm warning was issued in Panama from Nargana to Colon, where tropical storm conditions are expected beginning Tuesday. A tropical storm watch is also in effect from west of Colon, Panama to Costa Rica. 

A tropical storm watch was issued Monday night for San Andres Island, a Colombian island in the Caribbean Sea located about 125 miles east of the Nicaragua coast. This means tropical storm conditions are possible there within 48 hours.

MAX_WEB_TROP_ATL16_ww1_1280x720.jpg

Tropical Storm Otto continues to march in place, located just over 200 miles southeast of San Andres Island, or about 330 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua, as of Tuesday morning.

MAX_WEB_TROP_ATL16_storm_info_1280x720.jpg

Otto is finally expected to begin to drift westward later Tuesday followed by a faster motion toward the west-northwest or west by Wednesday, as clockwise steering flow around high pressure building to its north will send this system westward toward the coast of Nicaragua or Costa Rica.

MAX_WEB_TROP_ATL16_swath_1280x720.jpg

Projected Path

The red-shaded area denotes the potential path of the center of the tropical cyclone. Note that impacts (particularly heavy rain, high surf, coastal flooding) with any tropical cyclone may spread beyond its forecast path.

Tropical storm force winds currently extend out to about 70 miles from the center of circulation, making Otto a relatively small tropical cyclone.

Wind shear is expected to be weak to moderate over the next few days, and small tropical cyclones can also intensify quickly, particularly given heat content in the southwest Caribbean Sea is well above average for this time of year.

Given all this, Otto will intensify, becoming a rare, late-season hurricane before making landfall in Nicaragua or Costa Rica on Thanksgiving Day.

Heavy rain, flash flooding and mudslides will be major concerns for Central America, including Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. Some locations may pick up over 10 inches of rain from Otto.

In addition, areas of heavy rain well to the north of the circulation may trigger flooding in parts of Honduras and Belize. 

DCT_SPECIAL16_1280x720.jpg

Any wind and storm surge impact will depend on the strength of the system as it moves inland, which remains somewhat uncertain at this time.

Otto is expected to weaken soon after making landfall, as the circulation is hampered by the higher terrain of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. However, there is some potential for the circulation to survive in some form once it emerges into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Atlantic tropical cyclones crossing into the eastern Pacific Basin have happened numerous times in the past. 

How Unusual is a Named Storm This Late in the Hurricane Season?

November Atlantic Basin tropical cyclones aren't all that unusual.

In November, tropical cyclones typically form where the waters are warmest. Thus, one cluster of storms forming in November is in the western Caribbean Sea.

A second broad area of formation is in a broad swath of the western and central Atlantic Ocean, sometimes spinning off from an old frontal boundary, sometimes transitioning from a cold-core low to a subtropical or tropical cyclone.

    Hello guest!

 

Share this post


Link to post

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

Sign in to follow this  



  • Welcome To Our Community

    The most intelligent people on planet Earth hang out on this forum. Be ready to have your points of view challenged and refined.

  • Similar Content

    • By Sonita
       
      Caso de Natividad Canda: reconstruyen escena de ataque de perros
       
      Cerca de 40 personas, dos perros amaestrados y un maniquí participaron anoche en la reconstrucción de la escena en la cual murió el nicaragüense Natividad Canda Mairena debido al ataque de dos perros rottweiler en un taller de La Lima de Cartago.
      La muerte ocurrió en la madrugada del 10 de noviembre pasado, cuando Canda y un amigo de él entraron en aquella propiedad privada presuntamente para robar. Ambos fueron sorprendidos por dos rottweiller, que atacaron a Canda durante 54 minutos. Su compañero participó este jueves en la representación. En noviembre, él escapó de los animales, pero ahora está en la cárcel de Cartago.
      El principal objetivo del trabajo de la Fiscalía fue determinar si quienes estuvieron en el momento del ataque actuaron en la forma correcta o si, por el contrario, pudieron hacer algo efectivo para evitar que Canda muriese. En la recreación, ordenada por el fiscal que sigue el caso, Julián Martínez, participaron todas las personas que presenciaron el hecho: policías, bomberos, personal de la Cruz Roja, el propietario y el guarda del taller.
      Los perros atacaron al maniquí mientras las personas se colocaron en los mismos lugares que ocuparon cuando otros dos rottweiller agredieron a Canda. Eso se hizo con el fin de descubrir si tuvieron ángulos para disparar o si hacerlo era peligroso por el riesgo de herir a Candia, quien se encontraba indocumentado. Luego se hizo un análisis de planimetría (toma de medidas).
      El miércoles pasado, el representante legal de la madre de Canda, Luis Fernando Sáenz, interpuso una querella ante el Ministerio Público de Cartago. En ella acusa, por homicidio simple en concurso de omisión de auxilio, al dueño del taller, Fernando Zúñiga, y al guarda, Luis Guillermo Hernández. También acusó del mismo delito a los diez oficiales de la Fuerza Pública que acudieron al hecho. A ellos se les reprocha también incumplimiento de deberes y negación de auxilio.
      Nicaragua ha demandado a Costa Rica ante la Comisión Interamericana de Derechos Humanos argumentando que hubo retardo en las investigaciones del caso.

      Hello guest! Please register or sign in (it's free) to view the hidden content.
    • By Nicole
      Con el objetivo de transmitir un mensaje positivo a aquellas personas que por alguna razón se sienten tristes o decepcionadas, los Testigos de Jehová efectuarán su Asamblea, pero de una manera distinta. En esta ocasión, será completamente en Lesco.

      La actividad se efectuará durante tres días, iniciando este viernes 15 de setiembre y se extenderá hasta el domingo 17.

      Según indicaron los Testigos, dicha actividad va dirigida específicamente a la comunidad no oyente del país, bajo el lema “No se rinda”.
      “Cada tarde se podrá seguir por medio de una película una historia de una familia que llega a entender por qué Jesús dijo: ‘Acuérdense de la esposa de Lot’”, señalaron.

      “Estabilidad en el matrimonio, valores morales, educación de los hijos, la situación económica y las enfermedades, serán entre otros, los temas que se analizarán para que las personas en un mundo convulso no se rindan”, continuaron los Testigos de Jehová.

      Otra actividad que se podrá presenciar consiste en la ordenación de nuevos ministros, a partir de las 11:45 a.m. del sábado. Pero, además, se divulgará el discurso “No se rinda ante el temor”.

      La Convención tendrá como sede el salón de asambleas de los Testigos de Jehová, en La Asunción de Belén, Heredia. Específicamente, frente a las instalaciones de Unilever.

      Las actividades del viernes y sábado darán inicio a las 9:20 a.m. y se extenderán hasta las 4:45 p.m., mientras que el domingo, se hará el encuentro desde las 9:20 a.m. y hasta las 3:30 p.m. y se brindará otro discurso: “Nunca pierda la esperanza”.

      Toda aquella persona que desee participar podrá hacerlo y la entrada es totalmente gratis.

      Hello guest! Please register or sign in (it's free) to view the hidden content.
    • By Sonita
      Do people in your area have beliefs about bells like these? In my country some people have these at their homes or business to attract money as superstition

    • By Sonita
      El próximo 21 de agosto se podrá apreciar un eclipse solar total, del cual, Nicaragua podrá ver un 30 por ciento, según David Castillo, presidente de la Asociación Científica de Astrónomos y Astrofísicos Nicaragüenses (Astronic).
      Este evento es de especial importancia para Estados Unidos, donde se podrá contemplar en su totalidad, explicó Castillo. Sin embargo, para Centroamérica y México la posibilidad de ver el fenómeno es parcial.
      El eclipse se produce cuando la luna se ubica en medio del sol y la Tierra, siempre y cuando este en fase de luna nueva, explicó el presidente de Astronic.
      Leer más: 
      Hello guest! Please register or sign in (it's free) to view the hidden content.
  • Recently Browsing

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • Who's Online (See full list)

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Exposé sur la maladie, la dépression   Semaine spéciale - Dimanche - Exposé sur la maladie, la dépression.mSemaine spéciale - Mardi - Exposé sur la fidélité.mp3p3   Exposé sur la fidélité  
    • You might misunderstand that my suggestion encompassed all who were referred to by Anna and TTH. Their comments encompassed humans in general as did mine. Of course Christians, particularly the kind referred to in 2Cor.2:11, are not ignorant of Satan's designs. But, sadly, many other humans are. Further, human intelligence is no protection against Satanic machinations. Nothing explicit I would agree, but I think there are sufficient examples to sensitize a Christian conscience of the need to keep clear of certain items. And even the most liberal stretch could not deny that the Devil is able to deceive humans into believing that objects might have supernatural efficacy, even if those actual items did not. However, that is not to say that Satan or demons cannot utilise material objects, as opposed to possessing them. Have you ever experienced demon activity yourself first hand,  other than through the obvious workings of this system of things? I think as you were raised in a theocratic environment, probably not. Those who have would most likely share a view different from the rationalisations expressed in some of these postings on the subject.
    • There is nothing wrong with the single idea that the due time is near. Even if it is 1,000 years in the future, it is nearer now than when we first became believers. The book of Revelation appears intended to bring that day "close in mind." It makes it easier to imagine by giving us imagery and symbols that make us desirous of getting through the "pangs of distress" as @John Houston mentioned, and finally reaching the "new heavens and new earth" of Revelation 21 and 22. Revelation itself mentions that the "due time is near." (Revelation 1:1-3) 1 A revelation by Jesus Christ, which God gave him, to show his slaves the things that must shortly take place. And he sent forth his angel and presented [it] in signs through him to his slave John, 2 who bore witness to the word God gave and to the witness Jesus Christ gave, even to all the things he saw. 3 Happy is he who reads aloud and those who hear the words of this prophecy, and who observe the things written in it; for the appointed time is near. Peter provides a good commentary that fits both Revelation and Jesus' revelation in Matthew 24 and Luke 21. Peter gives us a practical way to view these revelations about Christ's parousia. (1 Peter 4:7-10) 7 But the end of all things has drawn close. Therefore, be sound in mind, and be vigilant with a view to prayers. 8 Above all things, have intense love for one another, because love covers a multitude of sins. 9 Be hospitable to one another without grumbling. 10 To the extent that each one has received a gift, use it in ministering to one another as fine stewards of God’s undeserved kindness that is expressed in various ways. (2 Peter 3:11-13) 11 Since all these things are to be dissolved in this way, consider what sort of people you ought to be in holy acts of conduct and deeds of godly devotion, 12 as you await and keep close in mind the presence of the day of Jehovah, through which the heavens will be destroyed in flames and the elements will melt in the intense heat! 13 But there are new heavens and a new earth that we are awaiting according to his promise, and in these righteousness is to dwell. 2 Peter 1 pointed out that Christ's parousia could be 1,000 years off, or even on the order of 1,000's of years off. People would even be ridiculing Christians for the fact that things are still going on as they always were, so that it was obvious that the parousia had not yet begun. They were already doing that when the letters of 2 Peter and Jude were being written. People were still doing that in the year 1000 C.E. and 2000 C.E, and although it gets harder to see how things could go one, Jehovah might even allow things to go on to 3000 C.E. But this does not mean that the end is not "near" or "close." Then end of all things, the day of the Lord, could arrive tonight at 6:30 p.m. But for all of us , it is as near as the end of our own lifetime, after which our very next thought or breath would be in the "new heavens and new earth." No matter what, that's how Christians should live their lives.
    • Nothing of the sort is in there. I have the 350-page document I got here: Hello guest! Please register or sign in (it's free) to view the hidden content. What is the link to the document you are talking about? If it's the same one, why does it say nothing about Colorado, California or Washington D.C.? I know that a lot of fundamentalist religions (including the Tea Party) are quick to make a conspiracy theory about anything that comes from the United Nations. (Many Witnesses have done this for years, too.) There will always be the danger of government over-reach and mismanagement of these ideas, but as far as the ideas themselves, they are excellent. I don't think they go far enough.
    • I think the answer to that question is mostly YES! We are intelligent enough not to fall for his tricks. But that doesn't mean we won't fall for them, because Satan's biggest trick doesn't appeal to our intelligence but to our desires. (2 Corinthians 2:11) 11 so that we may not be overreached by Satan, for we are not ignorant of his designs. By the way, the Bible never, ever, says that demons can possess things that might therefore become dangerous to us. There is never a warning against owning things that might have been previously owned or influenced by demons or spirit mediums. Yet, on such matters, the Bible is all we need to be fully equipped, which also means that the Bible has told us all we need to know about being fully equipped, putting on the complete suit of armor, to fight the Devil. Instead of ever mentioning objects like Ouija boards, or amulets, or even false idols, we are told that these things (idols) are nothing. Instead the counsel we get is all about watching our desires: (James 1:14, 15) 14 But each one is tried by being drawn out and enticed by his own desire. 15 Then the desire, when it has become fertile, gives birth to sin; in turn sin, when it has been carried out, brings forth death. (James 1:27) 27 The form of worship that is clean and undefiled from the standpoint of our God and Father is this: to look after orphans and widows in their tribulation, and to keep oneself without spot from the world. (James 4:1-8) 4 What is the source of the wars and fights among you? Do they not originate from your fleshly desires that carry on a conflict within you? 2 You desire, and yet you do not have. You go on murdering and coveting, and yet you are not able to obtain. You go on fighting and waging war. You do not have because of your not asking. 3 When you do ask, you do not receive because you are asking for a wrong purpose, so that you may spend it on your fleshly desires. 4 Adulteresses, do you not know that friendship with the world is enmity with God? Whoever, therefore, wants to be a friend of the world is making himself an enemy of God. 5 Or do you think that for no reason the scripture says: “The spirit that has taken up residence within us keeps enviously longing”? 6 However, the undeserved kindness that He gives is greater. So it says: “God opposes the haughty ones, but he gives undeserved kindness to the humble ones.” 7 Therefore, subject yourselves to God; but oppose the Devil, and he will flee from you. 8 Draw close to God, and he will draw close to you.. . .      
  • Forum Statistics

    • Total Topics
      42,058
    • Total Posts
      65,441
  • Member Statistics

    • Total Members
      12,586
    • Most Online
      1,592

    Newest Member
    lebron
    Joined